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Baja California Governor Election Winner 2027

21 outcomes · Voting day: (in 236 days)

72% chance to win Julieta Ramírez Padilla

▼5 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%
Aug 6Oct 13

13% chance to win Ismael Burgueño Ruiz

▲10 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%
Aug 7Oct 13

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OutcomeProbability24h change
Julieta Ramírez Padilla72%0 pts
Ismael Burgueño Ruiz13%▲9 pts
Gina Cruz Blackledge1%–
Montserrat Caballero Ramírez<1%–
Guadalupe Gutiérrez Fregoso<1%–
Armando Ayala Robles<1%–
Evangelina Moreno Guerra<1%–
Daylín García Ruvalcaba<1%–
Gustavo de Hoyos Walther<1%–
Jesús Alejandro Ruiz Uribe<1%–
Jorge Ramos Hernández<1%–
Héctor Osuna Jaime<1%–
Adrián Humberto Valle Ballesteros<1%–
Víctor Galicia<1%–
Ana Daniela García Salgado<1%–
Juan Carlos Hank<1%–
Fernando Castro Trenti<1%–
Alfredo Álvarez Cárdenas<1%–
Joel Anselmo Jiménez Vega<1%–
Gustavo Macalpin<1%–
Karla Ruiz Macfarland<1%–
  1. Julieta Ramírez Padilla 72%
  2. Ismael Burgueño Ruiz 13%
100%50%0%

Aug 6Sep 9Oct 13

Key questions

When is the vote?

Sunday, June 6, 2027 (in 236 days).

Who is expected to win?

Julieta Ramírez Padilla, with a market-implied probability of 72%, ahead of Ismael Burgueño Ruiz at 13%. Updated 2026-10-13 16:12 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

Julieta Ramírez Padilla 72%

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

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