Aguascalientes Governor Election Winner 2027
15 outcomes · Voting day: (in 236 days)
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| 42% | ▼5 pts | |
| 31% | ▲6 pts | |
| 23% | ▲1 pt | |
| <1% | – | |
| <1% | – | |
| <1% | – | |
| <1% | – | |
| <1% | – | |
| <1% | – | |
| SSalma Luévano Luna | <1% | – |
| <1% | – | |
| <1% | – | |
| <1% | – | |
| <1% | – | |
| <1% | – |
- Leonardo Montañez Castro 42%
- Antonio Martín del Campo 31%
- Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez 23%
100%50%0%
Aug 6Sep 9Oct 13
Key questions
When is the vote?
Sunday, June 6, 2027 (in 236 days).
Who is expected to win?
Leonardo Montañez Castro, with a market-implied probability of 42%, ahead of Antonio Martín del Campo at 31%. Updated 2026-10-13 03:02 UTC.
What do these percentages mean?
The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

