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Guerrero Governor Election Winner 2027

28 outcomes · Voting day: (in 236 days)

88% chance to win Beatriz Mojica Morga

▲4 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%
Aug 6Oct 13

3% chance to win Esthela Damián Peralta

▼1 pt in 7 days

Probability

50%
Aug 7Oct 13

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OutcomeProbability24h change
Beatriz Mojica Morga88%0 pts
Esthela Damián Peralta3%▲1 pt
Manuel Añorve Baños1%▼4 pts
Mario Moreno Arcos1%–
Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros<1%–
Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña<1%–
Karen Castrejón Trujillo<1%–
Yesenia Galarza Castro<1%–
Erika Lorena Lührs<1%–
Julián López Galeana<1%–
Abelina López Rodríguez<1%–
Félix Salgado Macedonio<1%–
Rogelio Ortega Martínez<1%–
Alberto López Rosas<1%–
Iván Hernández Díaz<1%–
Rubén Cayetano García<1%–
Javier Saldaña Almazán<1%–
Genaro Vázquez Flores<1%–
Zeferino Gómez Valdovinos<1%–
Norma Otilia Hernández Martínez<1%–
Guadalupe Eguiluz<1%–
Alejandro Bravo Abarca<1%–
Gustavo Alarcón Herrera<1%–
Eloy Salmerón Díaz<1%–
Gabriela Bernal Reséndiz<1%–
Héctor Astudillo Flores<1%–
Evodio Velázquez Aguirre<1%–
Carlos Reyes Torres<1%–
  1. Beatriz Mojica Morga 89%
100%50%0%

Aug 6Sep 9Oct 13

Key questions

When is the vote?

Sunday, June 6, 2027 (in 236 days).

Who is expected to win?

Beatriz Mojica Morga, with a market-implied probability of 88%, ahead of Esthela Damián Peralta at 3%. Updated 2026-10-13 16:42 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

Beatriz Mojica Morga 88%

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

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