Mexico elections 2027: predictions · May 11 – Jun 9, 2027

Sun 6 Jun 2027

1. Mexico Legislative Election

   Morena 85% 24h change: ▼2

   

   85% Morena

   ▼1 pt in 7 days

   Probability

   50%

   

   7% PAN

   ▼1 pt in 7 days

   Probability

   50%

   All 6 outcomes

2. Guerrero Governor Election

   Beatriz Mojica Morga 88%

   

   Other outcomes in this event

   1. Esthela Damián Peralta 3%
   2. Manuel Añorve Baños 1%
   3. Mario Moreno Arcos 1%

   +8 below 1%

   All 12 outcomes

3. Tlaxcala Governor Election

   Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera 60% 24h change: ▼4

   

   Other outcomes in this event

   1. Alfonso Sánchez García 6%
   2. Floria María Hernández Hernández 4%
   3. Anabell Ávalos Zempoalteca 3%
   4. Danae Figueroa 1%
   5. Adriana Dávila Fernández 1%

   +5 below 1%

   All 11 outcomes

4. Michoacán Governor Election

   Carlos Torres Piña 36% 24h change: ▼2

   

   Other outcomes in this event

   1. Grecia Quiroz 14%
   2. Gladyz Butanda Macías 9%
   3. Alfonso Martínez Alcázar 6%
   4. Raúl Morón Orozco 2%
   5. Fabiola Alanís Sámano 1%

   +1 below 1%

   All 7 outcomes

5. Nuevo León Governor Election

   Mariana Rodríguez Cantú 27% 24h change: ▼2

   

   Other outcomes in this event

   1. Adrián de la Garza Santos 25%
   2. Clara Luz Flores Carrales 14%
   3. Tatiana Clouthier Carrillo 4%
   4. Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas 4%
   5. Andrés Mijes Llovera 1%
   6. Daniel Carrillo Martínez 1%

   +1 below 1%

   All 8 outcomes

6. Aguascalientes Governor Election

   Leonardo Montañez Castro 41% 24h change: ▼3

   

   Other outcomes in this event

   1. Antonio Martín del Campo 32%
   2. Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez 23%

   +11 below 1%

   All 14 outcomes

7. Baja California Governor Election

   Julieta Ramírez Padilla 72%

   

   Other outcomes in this event

   1. Ismael Burgueño Ruiz 10%
   2. Montserrat Caballero Ramírez 1%
   3. Gina Cruz Blackledge 1%

   +3 below 1%

   All 7 outcomes

8. Sinaloa Governor Election

   Imelda Castro Castro 80% 24h change: ▲1

   

   80% Imelda Castro Castro

   ▲2 pts in 7 days

   Probability

   50%

   

   11% Mario Zamora Gastélum

   ▼4 pts in 7 days

   Probability

   50%

   All 10 outcomes

9. Zacatecas Governor Election

   Verónica Díaz Robles 55% 24h change: ▲1

   

   Other outcomes in this event

   1. Ulises Mejía Haro 15%

   +2 below 1%

   All 4 outcomes

10. Sonora Governor Election

    Lorenia Valles Sampedro 65% 24h change: ▲4

    

    Other outcomes in this event

    1. Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas 17%
    2. Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez 8%
    3. Javier Lamarque Cano 3%

    All 4 outcomes

11. Quintana Roo Governor Election

    Eugenio Segura Vázquez 81% 24h change: ▲1

    

    Other outcomes in this event

    1. Ana Patricia Peralta de la Peña 5%
    2. Rafael Marín Mollinedo 3%
    3. Marybel Villegas Canché 1%
    4. Estefanía Mercado Asencio 1%

    All 5 outcomes

12. San Luis Potosí Governor Election

    Ruth González Silva 64% 24h change: ▼3

    

    Other outcomes in this event

    1. Aid Ávila Covarrubias 6%
    2. Ana Dora Cabrera 2%

    All 3 outcomes

13. Colima Governor Election

    Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera 83% 24h change: ▼1

    

    Other outcomes in this event

    1. Riult Rivera Gutiérrez 5%
    2. Mario Delgado Carrillo 3%
    3. Griselda Martínez Martínez 2%

    All 4 outcomes

14. Querétaro Governor Election

    Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera 53% 24h change: ▲2

    

    Other outcomes in this event

    1. Santiago Nieto Castillo 6%
    2. Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero 5%
    3. Laura Patricia Polo Herrera 1%
    4. Teresa Calzada Rovirosa 1%

    +6 below 1%

    All 11 outcomes

15. Nayarit Governor Election

    Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez 63% 24h change: ▲1

    

    Other outcomes in this event

    1. Héctor Santana García 8%
    2. Geraldine Ponce Méndez 4%

    +1 below 1%

    All 4 outcomes

16. Campeche Governor Election

    Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus 69% 24h change: ▼6

    
17. Baja California Sur Governor Election

    Manuel Cota Cárdenas 55% 24h change: ▲1

    

    Other outcomes in this event

    1. Francisco Pelayo Covarrubias 21%
    2. Christian Agúndez Gómez 8%
    3. Milena Quiroga Romero 3%

    All 4 outcomes