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Sonora Governor Election Winner 2027

19 outcomes · Voting day: (in 236 days)

65% chance to win Lorenia Valles Sampedro

▲2 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%
Aug 7Oct 13

17% chance to win Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas

▲2 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%
Aug 6Oct 13

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OutcomeProbability24h change
Lorenia Valles Sampedro65%▲4 pts
Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas17%0 pts
Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez8%0 pts
Javier Lamarque Cano3%0 pts
Natalia Rivera Grijalva2%▲1 pt
Sylvana Beltrones Sánchez1%–
Ernesto Gándara Camou1%–
Lilly Téllez García<1%–
Manuel Scott Sánchez<1%–
Célida Teresa López Cárdenas<1%–
Omar del Valle Colosio<1%–
Froylán Gámez Gamboa<1%–
Damián Zepeda Vidales<1%–
Rogelio Díaz Brown<1%–
Víctor Hugo Celaya<1%–
María Dolores del Río Sánchez<1%–
Heriberto Aguilar Castillo<1%–
Guadalupe María Soto<1%–
Patricia Mercado Castro<1%–
  1. Lorenia Valles Sampedro 65%
  2. Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas 17%
  3. Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez 8%
100%50%0%

Aug 6Sep 9Oct 13

Key questions

When is the vote?

Sunday, June 6, 2027 (in 236 days).

Who is expected to win?

Lorenia Valles Sampedro, with a market-implied probability of 65%, ahead of Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas at 17%. Updated 2026-10-13 20:29 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

Lorenia Valles Sampedro 65%

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

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