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Querétaro Governor Election Winner 2027

21 outcomes · Voting day: (in 236 days)

52% chance to win Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera

▲17 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%
Aug 6Oct 13

6% chance to win Santiago Nieto Castillo

▼17 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%
Aug 7Oct 13

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OutcomeProbability24h change
Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera52%▼16 pts
Santiago Nieto Castillo6%▼9 pts
Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero5%–
Laura Patricia Polo Herrera1%0 pts
Teresa Calzada Rovirosa1%0 pts
Agustín Dorantes Lámbarri1%–
Josué Guerrero Trápala<1%–
Luis Humberto Fernández Fuentes<1%–
Ricardo Astudillo Suárez<1%–
José María Tapia Franco<1%–
Guadalupe Murguía Gutiérrez<1%–
Paulina Aguado Romero<1%–
Manuel Garrido Patrón<1%–
Paul Ospital Carrera<1%–
Gilberto Herrera Ruiz<1%–
Beatriz Robles Gutiérrez<1%–
Astrid Alejandra Ortega Vázquez<1%–
Agustín Hernández Ortiz<1%–
Mario Mauro Ramírez González<1%–
Marco Antonio Del Prete Tercero<1%–
Abigail Arredondo Ramos<1%–
  1. Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera 52%
  2. Santiago Nieto Castillo 6%
100%50%0%

Aug 6Sep 9Oct 13

Key questions

When is the vote?

Sunday, June 6, 2027 (in 236 days).

Who is expected to win?

Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera, with a market-implied probability of 52%, ahead of Santiago Nieto Castillo at 6%. Updated 2026-10-13 16:42 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera 52%

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

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