Colima Governor Election Winner 2027

Q: When is the vote?

Sunday, June 6, 2027 (in 236 days).

Q: Who is expected to win?

Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera, with a market-implied probability of 84%, ahead of Joel Padilla Peña at 7%. Updated 2026-10-13 03:45 UTC.

Q: What do these percentages mean?

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

22 outcomes · Voting day: Sun, Jun 6, 2027 (in 236 days)

84% chance to win Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera

▲1 pt in 7 days

Probability

50%

Aug 6Oct 12

5% chance to win Riult Rivera Gutiérrez

▼1 pt in 7 days

Probability

50%

Aug 7Oct 12

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Outcome	Probability	24h change
Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera	84%	▼1 pt
Joel Padilla Peña	7%	▲5 pts
Gabriela Benavides Cobos	6%	▲1 pt
Riult Rivera Gutiérrez	5%	▼1 pt
Griselda Martínez Martínez	4%	0 pts
Margarita Moreno González	4%	0 pts
Mario Delgado Carrillo	3%	0 pts
Gricelda Valencia de la Mora	2%	0 pts
María Cristina Lupien	2%	0 pts
Mely Romero Celis	1%	0 pts
Sofía Peralta Ferro	1%	–
Viridiana Valencia Vargas	<1%	–
Virgilio Mendoza Amezcua	<1%	–
Julia Licet Jiménez Angulo	<1%	–
Hilda Lizette Moreno	<1%	–
César Yáñez Centeno	<1%	0 pts
Leoncio Alfonso Morán Sánchez	<1%	–
José Israel González	<1%	0 pts
Ana Karen Hernández Aceves	<1%	–
José Manuel Romero Coello	<1%	0 pts
Enrique Rojas Orozco	<1%	–
Esther Gutiérrez	<1%	–

Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera 84%

100%50%0%

Aug 6Sep 9Oct 13

Key questions

When is the vote?

Sunday, June 6, 2027 (in 236 days).

Who is expected to win?

Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera, with a market-implied probability of 84%, ahead of Joel Padilla Peña at 7%. Updated 2026-10-13 03:45 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera 84%

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

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Colima Governor Election 2027: Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera, with a market-implied probability of 84%, ahead of Joel Padilla Peña at 7%. Source: electiontracker.eu, October 13, 2026