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Sinaloa Governor Election Winner 2027

21 outcomes · Voting day: (in 236 days)

81% chance to win Imelda Castro Castro

▲2 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%
Aug 6Oct 13

12% chance to win Mario Zamora Gastélum

▼3 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%
Aug 7Oct 13

Use widget

OutcomeProbability24h change
Imelda Castro Castro81%▲1 pt
Mario Zamora Gastélum12%▼4 pts
María Teresa Guerra Ochoa3%0 pts
Graciela Domínguez Nava1%0 pts
Juan de Dios Gámez Mendívil1%–
Ricardo Madrid Pérez1%–
Kristiam Alexis Espinoza García1%–
Tomás de Jesús López Bajo1%–
Jesús Alfonso Ibarra Ramos<1%–
Lucila Ayala de Moreschi<1%–
Rodolfo Valenzuela Sánchez<1%–
Guillermo Romero Rodríguez<1%–
Sergio Torres Félix<1%–
Paloma Sánchez Ramos<1%–
Omar López Campos<1%–
Roxana Rubio Valdez<1%–
Estrella Palacios Domínguez<1%–
Jesús Fernando García Hernández<1%–
Gerardo Octavio Vargas Landeros<1%0 pts
Eduardo Ortiz Hernández<1%–
María Fernanda Rivera<1%–
  1. Imelda Castro Castro 81%
  2. Mario Zamora Gastélum 12%
100%50%0%

Aug 6Sep 9Oct 13

Key questions

When is the vote?

Sunday, June 6, 2027 (in 236 days).

Who is expected to win?

Imelda Castro Castro, with a market-implied probability of 81%, ahead of Mario Zamora Gastélum at 12%. Updated 2026-10-13 13:58 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

Imelda Castro Castro 81%

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

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