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Prime Minister of Israel after the election?

19 outcomes · Voting day: (today)

Official results: Central Elections Committee

Israel election 2026 sets Netanyahu against Eisenkot and Bennett Israel votes on 27 October 2026 to elect all 120 members of the Knesset, its parliament. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud party faces Yashar, led by former army chief Gadi Eisenkot, and Together, the joint list of former prime ministers Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid.

Live

65% chance Gadi Eizenkot

▲16 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%
Nov 2025Oct 2026

22% chance Benjamin Netanyahu

▼9 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%
Nov 2025Oct 2026

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@electiontracker.eu

OutcomeProbability24h change
Gadi EizenkotCentre65%▲7 pts
Benjamin NetanyahuRight22%▼4 pts
Naftali BennettRight10%▼2 pts
Avigdor LiebermanRight2%0 pts
Yossi Cohen<1%–
Itamar Ben GvirFar right<1%–
Israel KatzRight<1%0 pts
Amir OhanaRight<1%0 pts
Moshe FeiglinRight<1%0 pts
Yair GolanCentre-left<1%–
Ofer Winter<1%0 pts
Gideon Sa’arRight<1%–
Ayelet ShakedRight<1%0 pts
Benny GantzCentre<1%–
Nir BarkatRight<1%0 pts
Yariv LevinRight<1%–
Yoaz HendelCentre-right<1%–
Gilad ErdanRight<1%–
Yair LapidCentre<1%0 pts
  1. Gadi Eizenkot 65%
  2. Benjamin Netanyahu 22%
  3. Naftali Bennett 10%
100%50%0%

Nov 2025May 2026Oct 2026

Latest news

  1. Former prime minister and B'Yachad head Naftali Bennett cast his ballot in Ra'anana. The Jerusalem Post
  2. The Central Elections Committee reported turnout of 44.9% by 2 p.m., up from 38.9% at the same hour in the 2022 election. TheMarker
  3. Yashar leader Gadi Eisenkot cast his ballot at a polling station in Herzliya. NBC News
  4. The Central Elections Committee reported that nearly 2.4 million Israelis, or 31.5% of eligible voters, had voted by noon. Israel National News
  5. The Central Elections Committee reported turnout of 16.68% by 10 a.m., with more than 1.2 million Israelis having cast ballots. Ynetnews
  6. Voting for the 26th Knesset began at 7 am at 12,018 polling stations, with 7,331,981 eligible voters. Kikar HaShabbat
  7. The Central Elections Committee said Ahi's ballots would not be distributed after all its candidates resigned, leaving 36 lists in the Knesset race. Kore (Kol Rega)
  8. The Haredi party Hakhel, led by Shlomo Elboim, withdrew from the Knesset race one day before the vote. The Yeshiva World

Summarised automatically from the linked sources.

Key questions

When is the vote?

Tuesday, October 27, 2026 (today).

Who is expected to win?

Gadi Eizenkot, with a market-implied probability of 65%, ahead of Benjamin Netanyahu at 22%. Updated 2026-10-27 14:47 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

Gadi Eizenkot 65%

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

Related races

  1. Israeli Legislative Election Winner Yashar 78%
  2. Israeli Minister of Defense? No Next Minister by Feb 28 43%
  3. Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs? No Next Minister by Feb 28 37%
  4. Israeli Minister of Justice? No Next Minister by Feb 28 41%
  5. Israeli Minister of Finance? No Next Minister by Feb 28 42%
  6. Israeli Minister of National Security? No Next Minister by Feb 28 43%
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