Israeli Minister of Justice?
11 outcomes · Voting day: (in 20 days) · Use widget
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| No Next Minister by Feb 28 | 42% | ▲9 pts |
| Orit Farkash-Hacohen | 11% | ▼4 pts |
| Tally Gotliv | 10% | – |
| Gilad Kariv | 10% | ▼3 pts |
| Ofir Katz | 9% | – |
| Gideon Sa’ar | 8% | – |
| Oded Forer | 7% | 0 pts |
| Amir Ohana | 4% | – |
| Yariv Levin | 4% | ▼1 pt |
| Simcha Rothman | 1% | – |
| Ayelet Shaked | 1% | – |
Key questions
When is the vote?
Tuesday, October 27, 2026 (in 20 days).
Who is expected to win?
No Next Minister by Feb 28, with a market-implied probability of 42%, ahead of Orit Farkash-Hacohen at 11%. Updated 2026-10-07 14:33 UTC.
What do these percentages mean?
The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.