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繁體中文Israeli Legislative Election Winner 2026
6 outcomes · Voting day: (in 20 days)
Israel election 2026 sets Netanyahu against Eisenkot and Bennett Israel votes on 27 October 2026 to elect all 120 members of the Knesset, its parliament. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud party faces Yashar, led by former army chief Gadi Eisenkot, and Together, the joint list of former prime ministers Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Yashar | 51% | ▲1 pt |
| Likud | 49% | ▲1 pt |
| Together | 1% | 0 pts |
| Shas | <1% | – |
| The Democrats | <1% | – |
| Otzma Yehudit | <1% | – |
- Yashar 51%
- Likud 49%
May 2026Jul 2026Oct 2026
Latest news
- Israel's Supreme Court unanimously overturned the disqualification of the Joint List and Ra'am; Balad leader Sami Abu Shehadeh withdrew from the race. Al Jazeera
- The Central Elections Committee approved 38 candidate lists for the Knesset election and published their ballot letters. Ynet
- Parties submitted 38 candidate lists to the Central Elections Committee before the deadline for the October 27 Knesset election. Al Jazeera
Summarised automatically from the linked sources.
Key questions
When is the vote?
Tuesday, October 27, 2026 (in 20 days).
Who is expected to win?
Yashar, with a market-implied probability of 51%, ahead of Likud at 49%. Updated 2026-10-07 18:35 UTC.
What do these percentages mean?
The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.