עבריתWhich parties will win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?
5 outcomes · Voting day: (in 20 days)
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Ra'am | 96% | 0 pts |
| RZP-Zehut | 88% | – |
| Amcha Yisrael | 46% | ▼4 pts |
| Reservists and New Economic Party | 39% | ▼2 pts |
| Blue & White | 6% | – |
- Ra'am 96%
- RZP-Zehut 88%
- Amcha Yisrael 46%
100%50%0%
Sep 10Sep 23Oct 7
Key questions
When is the vote?
Tuesday, October 27, 2026 (in 20 days).
Who is expected to win?
Ra'am, with a market-implied probability of 96%, ahead of RZP-Zehut at 88%. Updated 2026-10-07 13:52 UTC.
What do these percentages mean?
The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.