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繁體中文Prime Minister of Israel after the election?
19 outcomes · Voting day: (in 20 days)
Israel election 2026 sets Netanyahu against Eisenkot and Bennett Israel votes on 27 October 2026 to elect all 120 members of the Knesset, its parliament. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud party faces Yashar, led by former army chief Gadi Eisenkot, and Together, the joint list of former prime ministers Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Gadi Eizenkot | 47% | ▼1 pt |
| Benjamin Netanyahu | 36% | – |
| Naftali Bennett | 9% | – |
| Avigdor Lieberman | 2% | 0 pts |
| Ofer Winter | 1% | 0 pts |
| Itamar Ben Gvir | 1% | 0 pts |
| Yossi Cohen | <1% | – |
| Yair Lapid | <1% | – |
| Yair Golan | <1% | – |
| Yoaz Hendel | <1% | – |
| Ayelet Shaked | <1% | 0 pts |
| Amir Ohana | <1% | – |
| Benny Gantz | <1% | – |
| Nir Barkat | <1% | – |
| Gideon Sa’ar | <1% | – |
| Yariv Levin | <1% | – |
| Gilad Erdan | <1% | – |
| Israel Katz | <1% | – |
| Moshe Feiglin | <1% | – |
- Gadi Eizenkot 47%
- Benjamin Netanyahu 36%
- Naftali Bennett 9%
Nov 2025Apr 2026Oct 2026
Latest news
- Israel's Supreme Court ruled 7-2 that Hadash-Ta'al MK Ofer Cassif may run in the Knesset election, rejecting his disqualification. The Jerusalem Post
- Balad leader Sami Abu Shehadeh withdrew from the Knesset race after the Supreme Court advised him to drop out; other Arab lists were restored to the ballot. Al Jazeera
- Parties met the deadline to submit candidate slates for the 27 October Knesset election, with 38 lists filed with the Central Elections Committee. Al Jazeera
Summarised automatically from the linked sources.
Key questions
When is the vote?
Tuesday, October 27, 2026 (in 20 days).
Who is expected to win?
Gadi Eizenkot, with a market-implied probability of 47%, ahead of Benjamin Netanyahu at 36%. Updated 2026-10-07 14:33 UTC.
What do these percentages mean?
The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.