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Amcha Yisrael: Which parties will win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?

46%Probability

1h change
▼1 pt
24h change
▼4 pts
1w change
▼18 pts
Voting day
(in 20 days)
  1. Amcha Yisrael 46%
100%50%0%

Sep 10Sep 23Oct 7

Other outcomes in this event

OutcomeProbability24h change
Ra'am96%0 pts
RZP-Zehut89%–
Reservists and New Economic Party40%▲1 pt
Blue & White6%–

All 5 outcomes

Related races

  1. Prime Minister of Israel after the election? Gadi Eizenkot 47%
  2. Israeli Legislative Election Winner Yashar 51%
  3. Which parties will be in the Israeli government? Yisrael Beiteinu 55%
  4. Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs? No Next Minister by Feb 28 41%
  5. Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut miss the 3.25% threshold for the Knesset? Yes 15%
  6. Will United Arab List (Ra'am) miss the 3.25% threshold for the Knesset? Yes 9%
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