Israeli Minister of National Security?
18 outcomes · Voting day: (in 20 days) · Use widget
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| No Next Minister by Feb 28 | 29% | ▼5 pts |
| Yoram Cohen | 20% | – |
| Talya Lankri | 16% | – |
| Itamar Ben Gvir | 12% | – |
| Matan Kahana | 8% | – |
| Hili Tropper (Yechiel Tropper) | 7% | – |
| Meirav Ben-Ari | 6% | – |
| Amir Ohana | 5% | ▼1 pt |
| Yoav Segalovich | 5% | ▼9 pts |
| Ofer Winter | 5% | ▼1 pt |
| Ram Ben-Barak | 4% | – |
| Eli Cohen | 3% | – |
| Elazar Stern | 3% | ▼1 pt |
| Avi Dichter | 3% | ▼4 pts |
| Yossi Cohen | 2% | ▼2 pts |
| Gideon Sa’ar | 1% | ▼2 pts |
| Yair Golan | 1% | – |
| Bezalel Smotrich | <1% | – |
Key questions
When is the vote?
Tuesday, October 27, 2026 (in 20 days).
Who is expected to win?
No Next Minister by Feb 28, with a market-implied probability of 29%, ahead of Yoram Cohen at 20%. Updated 2026-10-07 14:33 UTC.
What do these percentages mean?
The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.