Israeli Minister of Finance?
16 outcomes · Voting day: (in 20 days) · Use widget
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| No Next Minister by Feb 28 | 35% | ▼1 pt |
| Avigdor Lieberman | 18% | ▲1 pt |
| Naftali Bennett | 15% | – |
| Yair Lapid | 11% | – |
| Shaul Meridor | 9% | 0 pts |
| Yair Golan | 6% | ▼8 pts |
| Israel Katz | 5% | ▼6 pts |
| Eli Cohen | 5% | ▼1 pt |
| Bezalel Smotrich | 4% | ▼2 pts |
| Orit Farkash-Hacohen | 3% | ▲1 pt |
| Nir Barkat | 2% | ▼1 pt |
| Hili Tropper | 2% | ▼10 pts |
| Benjamin Netanyahu | 2% | ▼13 pts |
| Moshe Feiglin | 2% | ▼10 pts |
| Gadi Eizenkot | 2% | ▼10 pts |
| Yaron Zelekha | 1% | 0 pts |
Key questions
When is the vote?
Tuesday, October 27, 2026 (in 20 days).
Who is expected to win?
No Next Minister by Feb 28, with a market-implied probability of 35%, ahead of Avigdor Lieberman at 18%. Updated 2026-10-07 16:42 UTC.
What do these percentages mean?
The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.