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Prime Minister of Israel after the election?

19 outcomes · Voting day: (today)

Official results: Central Elections Committee

Israel election 2026 sets Netanyahu against Eisenkot and Bennett Israel votes on 27 October 2026 to elect all 120 members of the Knesset, its parliament. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud party faces Yashar, led by former army chief Gadi Eisenkot, and Together, the joint list of former prime ministers Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid.

Live

63% chance Gadi Eizenkot

▲15 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%
Nov 2025Oct 2026

25% chance Benjamin Netanyahu

▼6 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%
Nov 2025Oct 2026

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@electiontracker.eu

OutcomeProbability24h change
Gadi EizenkotCentre63%▲6 pts
Benjamin NetanyahuRight26%▼1 pt
Naftali BennettRight7%▼5 pts
Avigdor LiebermanRight2%0 pts
Moshe FeiglinRight<1%0 pts
Yossi Cohen<1%–
Israel KatzRight<1%0 pts
Itamar Ben GvirFar right<1%0 pts
Amir OhanaRight<1%0 pts
Ofer Winter<1%0 pts
Gideon Sa’arRight<1%–
Ayelet ShakedRight<1%–
Benny GantzCentre<1%–
Nir BarkatRight<1%0 pts
Yair GolanCentre-left<1%–
Yariv LevinRight<1%–
Yair LapidCentre<1%–
Yoaz HendelCentre-right<1%–
Gilad ErdanRight<1%–
  1. Gadi Eizenkot 63%
  2. Benjamin Netanyahu 26%
  3. Naftali Bennett 7%
100%50%0%

Nov 2025May 2026Oct 2026

Latest news

  1. The Central Elections Committee reported that nearly 2.4 million Israelis, or 31.5% of eligible voters, had voted by noon. Israel National News
  2. The Central Elections Committee reported turnout of 16.68% by 10 a.m., with more than 1.2 million Israelis having cast ballots. Ynetnews
  3. Voting for the 26th Knesset began at 7 am at 12,018 polling stations, with 7,331,981 eligible voters. Kikar HaShabbat
  4. The Central Elections Committee said Ahi's ballots would not be distributed after all its candidates resigned, leaving 36 lists in the Knesset race. Kore (Kol Rega)
  5. The Haredi party Hakhel, led by Shlomo Elboim, withdrew from the Knesset race one day before the vote. The Yeshiva World
  6. Israel's election silence period began at 7 pm, barring rallies, loudspeaker campaigning and radio and TV campaigning through polling day. Anadolu Agency
  7. Israel's Supreme Court rejected a petition by Adalah and the Joint List to ban polling station officials and party representatives from carrying firearms. Anadolu Agency
  8. The Central Elections Committee chairman rejected Yashar's appeal to block Netanyahu's meeting with the police commissioner on election-day preparations. Haaretz

Summarised automatically from the linked sources.

Key questions

When is the vote?

Tuesday, October 27, 2026 (today).

Who is expected to win?

Gadi Eizenkot, with a market-implied probability of 63%, ahead of Benjamin Netanyahu at 26%. Updated 2026-10-27 12:33 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

Gadi Eizenkot 63%

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

Related races

  1. Israeli Legislative Election Winner Yashar 73%
  2. Israeli Minister of Defense? No Next Minister by Feb 28 42%
  3. Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs? No Next Minister by Feb 28 39%
  4. Israeli Minister of Justice? No Next Minister by Feb 28 41%
  5. Israeli Minister of Finance? No Next Minister by Feb 28 42%
  6. Israeli Minister of National Security? No Next Minister by Feb 28 42%
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