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繁體中文Argentina Presidential Election Winner 2027
19 outcomes · Voting day: (in 382 days)
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Javier Milei | 55% | ▼1 pt |
| Axel Kicillof | 32% | ▼1 pt |
| Sergio Massa | 8% | ▲3 pts |
| Dante Gebel | 2% | 0 pts |
| Myriam Bregman | 1% | 0 pts |
| Patricia Bullrich | 1% | 0 pts |
| Victoria Villarruel | 1% | 0 pts |
| Juan Grabois | 1% | 0 pts |
| Juan Schiaretti | <1% | ▼1 pt |
| Daniel Hadad | <1% | ▼2 pts |
| Cristina Fernández de Kirchner | <1% | ▼1 pt |
| Facundo Manes | <1% | – |
| Esteban Bullrich | <1% | – |
| Mauricio Macri | <1% | 0 pts |
| Guillermo Moreno | <1% | – |
| Máximo Kirchner | <1% | 0 pts |
| Karina Milei | <1% | – |
| Nicolás del Caño | <1% | – |
| Eduardo Enrique "Wado" de Pedro | <1% | – |
- Javier Milei 55%
- Axel Kicillof 32%
- Sergio Massa 9%
100%50%0%
May 2026Jul 2026Oct 2026
Key questions
When is the vote?
Sunday, October 24, 2027 (in 382 days).
Who is expected to win?
Javier Milei, with a market-implied probability of 55%, ahead of Axel Kicillof at 32%. Updated 2026-10-07 15:35 UTC.
What do these percentages mean?
The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.