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Prime Minister of Serbia?

14 outcomes · Voting day: (2 days ago)

Official results: Republička izborna komisija

Serbia election won by Student List as Vučić concedes defeat The Student List, backed by Serbia's student protest movement, won the 25 October parliamentary election with 52.71 percent of the vote to 39.17 percent for Aleksandar Vučić's United Serbia. Vučić conceded defeat; a projection gives the list 140 of the 250 seats.

37% chance Dejan Šoškić

Probability

50%
Oct 24Oct 27

37% chance Radomir Saičić

Probability

50%
Oct 26Oct 27

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@electiontracker.eu

OutcomeProbability24h change
Dejan Šoškić37%▼5 pts
Radomir Saičić37%▲29 pts
Ilija Srdanović11%▼12 pts
Dejan Bodiroga5%0 pts
Aleksandar VučićRight2%▲1 pt
Vladan Đokić1%▼2 pts
Zoran Stojiljković1%▼5 pts
Ana BrnabićCentre<1%0 pts
Ivica DačićCentre-left<1%–
Miloš VučevićCentre<1%–
Đuro Macut<1%–
Stefan Krkobabić<1%–
Branimir JovanovićCentre-left<1%–
Dragan ĐilasCentre-left<1%–
  1. Dejan Šoškić 37%
  2. Radomir Saičić 37%
  3. Ilija Srdanović 11%
100%50%0%

Sep 16Oct 6Oct 27

Key questions

When is the vote?

Sunday, October 25, 2026 (2 days ago).

Who is expected to win?

Dejan Šoškić, with a market-implied probability of 37%, ahead of Radomir Saičić at 37%. Updated 2026-10-27 14:47 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

Dejan Šoškić 37%

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

Related races

  1. Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner Student List – Students Win Winner
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