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Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner 2026

10 outcomes · Voting day: (in 18 days)

Serbia election on 25 October pits Vučić against student list Serbia elects all 250 members of its parliament, the National Assembly, on 25 October 2026. Aleksandar Vučić, who resigned as president to run for prime minister, faces a list formed by the student movement behind nearly two years of protests.

61% chance to win Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia

▼5 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%
Sep 23Oct 7

39% chance to win Student List – Students Win

▲4 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%
Sep 22Oct 7

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OutcomeProbability24h change
Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia61%–
Student List – Students Win39%▼2 pts
Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability!<1%–
Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP)<1%–
Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor<1%–
Usame Zukorlić Movement for Unification<1%–
Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan Nikolić<1%–
Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović<1%–
European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš<1%–
SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak<1%–
  1. Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia 61%
  2. Student List – Students Win 39%
100%50%0%

Sep 22Sep 29Oct 7

Latest news

  1. The deadline for submitting electoral lists to the Republic Electoral Commission for the 25 October parliamentary election expired at midnight. RTV
  2. President Aleksandar Vučić called early parliamentary elections in Serbia for 25 October. Balkan Insight

Summarised automatically from the linked sources.

Key questions

When is the vote?

Sunday, October 25, 2026 (in 18 days).

Who is expected to win?

Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia, with a market-implied probability of 61%, ahead of Student List – Students Win at 39%. Updated 2026-10-07 15:35 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

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