Prime Minister of Serbia?
10 outcomes · Closes
Serbia election on 25 October pits Vučić against student list Serbia elects all 250 members of its parliament, the National Assembly, on 25 October 2026. Aleksandar Vučić, who resigned as president to run for prime minister, faces a list formed by the student movement behind nearly two years of protests.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Aleksandar Vučić | 68% | ▲1 pt |
| Ilija Srdanović | 29% | ▲9 pts |
| Vladan Đokić | 1% | 0 pts |
| Ana Brnabić | 1% | 0 pts |
| Ivica Dačić | 1% | 0 pts |
| Đuro Macut | <1% | 0 pts |
| Branimir Jovanović | <1% | – |
| Dragan Đilas | <1% | 0 pts |
| Miloš Vučević | <1% | 0 pts |
| Stefan Krkobabić | <1% | 0 pts |
- Aleksandar Vučić 68%
- Ilija Srdanović 29%
100%50%0%
Jul 2026Aug 2026Oct 2026
Key questions
Who is expected to win?
Aleksandar Vučić, with a market-implied probability of 68%, ahead of Ilija Srdanović at 29%. Updated 2026-10-07 13:46 UTC.
What do these percentages mean?
The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

