Argentina Presidential Election First Round Winner 2027
18 outcomes · Voting day: (in 382 days) · Use widget
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Javier Milei | 42% | ▼5 pts |
| Axel Kicillof | 35% | ▲11 pts |
| Eduardo Enrique "Wado" de Pedro | 20% | ▲17 pts |
| Sergio Massa | 6% | ▼1 pt |
| Myriam Bregman | 4% | 0 pts |
| Cristina Fernández de Kirchner | 3% | ▲1 pt |
| Facundo Manes | 3% | ▲1 pt |
| Guillermo Moreno | 3% | ▼1 pt |
| Juan Grabois | 2% | 0 pts |
| Juan Schiaretti | 2% | 0 pts |
| Esteban Bullrich | 1% | 0 pts |
| Mauricio Macri | 1% | ▼2 pts |
| Karina Milei | 1% | ▼6 pts |
| Daniel Hadad | 1% | – |
| Patricia Bullrich | <1% | ▼2 pts |
| Victoria Villarruel | <1% | 0 pts |
| Nicolás del Caño | <1% | ▼1 pt |
| Dante Gebel | <1% | 0 pts |
Key questions
When is the vote?
Sunday, October 24, 2027 (in 382 days).
Who is expected to win?
Javier Milei, with a market-implied probability of 42%, ahead of Axel Kicillof at 35%. Updated 2026-10-07 16:36 UTC.
What do these percentages mean?
The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.