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Wisconsin Governor Election Winner 2026

2 outcomes · Voting day: Tue, Nov 3, 2026 (in 21 days)

81% chance to win David Crowley (D)

Probability

50%

Oct 2025Oct 2026

20% chance to win Tom Tiffany (R)

▲1 pt in 7 days

Probability

50%

Oct 2025Oct 2026

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Outcome	Probability	24h change
David Crowley (D)	81%	–
Tom Tiffany (R)	20%	–

David Crowley (D) 81%
Tom Tiffany (R) 20%

100%50%0%

Oct 2025Apr 2026Oct 2026

Key questions

When is the vote?

Tuesday, November 3, 2026 (in 21 days).

Who is expected to win?

David Crowley (D), with a market-implied probability of 81%, ahead of Tom Tiffany (R) at 20%. Updated 2026-10-13 18:15 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

David Crowley (D) 81%

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

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Wisconsin Governor Election 2026: David Crowley (D), with a market-implied probability of 81%, ahead of Tom Tiffany (R) at 20%. Source: electiontracker.eu, October 13, 2026