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Los Angeles Mayoral Election 2026

11 outcomes · Voting day: (127 days ago) · Use widget

Awaiting the official result. Nithya Raman, with a market-implied probability of 59%, ahead of Karen Bass at 43%.

OutcomeProbability24h change
Nithya Raman59%▼2 pts
Karen Bass43%▲3 pts
Rick Caruso Resolved0%–
Asaad Alnajjar Resolved0%–
Gina Viola Resolved0%–
Spencer Pratt Resolved0%–
Austin Beutner Resolved0%–
Lindsey Horvath Resolved0%–
Monica Rodriguez Resolved0%–
Rae Huang Resolved0%–
Adam Miller Resolved0%–
  1. Nithya Raman 59%
  2. Karen Bass 43%
100%50%0%

Oct 2025Apr 2026Oct 2026

Key questions

When is the vote?

Tuesday, June 2, 2026 (127 days ago).

Who is expected to win?

Nithya Raman, with a market-implied probability of 59%, ahead of Karen Bass at 43%. Updated 2026-10-07 16:42 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

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