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Alaska Governor Election Winner 2026

22 outcomes · Voting day: (in 21 days)

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OutcomeProbability24h change
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins78%–
Bernadette Wilson20%–
Tom Begich1%–
David Bronson1%–
Treg Taylor<1%0 pts
Click Bishop<1%–
Edna DeVries<1%–
Shelley Hughes<1%–
James Parkin<1%–
Lisa Murkowski<1%–
Matt Claman<1%–
Bill Walker<1%–
Adam Crum<1%–
Nancy Dahlstrom<1%–
Matt Heilala<1%–
Mary Peltola<1%–
Hank Kroll<1%–
Bruce Walden<1%–
Lesil McGuire<1%–
Gregg Brelsford<1%–
Jessica Faircloth<1%–
Destry J. Payne Sr.<1%–
  1. Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 79%
  2. Bernadette Wilson 20%
100%50%0%

Oct 2025Apr 2026Oct 2026

Key questions

When is the vote?

Tuesday, November 3, 2026 (in 21 days).

Who is expected to win?

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins, with a market-implied probability of 78%, ahead of Bernadette Wilson at 20%. Updated 2026-10-13 03:08 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 78%

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

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