Alaska Governor Election Winner 2026
22 outcomes · Voting day: (in 21 days)
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| 78% | – | |
| 20% | – | |
| 1% | – | |
| 1% | – | |
| <1% | 0 pts | |
| <1% | – | |
| <1% | – | |
| <1% | – | |
| <1% | – | |
| <1% | – | |
| <1% | – | |
| <1% | – | |
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| <1% | – |
- Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 79%
- Bernadette Wilson 20%
100%50%0%
Oct 2025Apr 2026Oct 2026
Key questions
When is the vote?
Tuesday, November 3, 2026 (in 21 days).
Who is expected to win?
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins, with a market-implied probability of 78%, ahead of Bernadette Wilson at 20%. Updated 2026-10-13 03:08 UTC.
What do these percentages mean?
The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

