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繁體中文California Governor Election Winner 2026
23 outcomes · Voting day: (in 21 days)
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
 Xavier Becerra | 96% | 0 pts |
 Steve Hilton | 4% | 0 pts |
 Tom Steyer | <1% | 0 pts |
| Matt Mahan | <1% | – |
| Rick Caruso | <1% | – |
| Alex Padilla | <1% | – |
| Katie Porter | <1% | – |
| Antonio Villaraigosa | <1% | – |
| Stephen Cloobeck | <1% | – |
| Butch Ware | <1% | – |
| Betty Yee | <1% | – |
| Toni Atkins | <1% | – |
| Kyle Langford | <1% | – |
| Chad Bianco | <1% | – |
| Eleni Kounalakis | <1% | – |
| Daniel Mercuri | <1% | – |
| Tony Thurmond | <1% | – |
| Michael Younger | <1% | – |
| Leo Zacky | <1% | – |
| Nicole Shanahan | <1% | – |
| Eric Swalwell | <1% | – |
| Kamala Harris | <1% | – |
| Elaine Culotti | <1% | – |
- Xavier Becerra 96%
100%50%0%
Oct 2025Apr 2026Oct 2026
Key questions
When is the vote?
Tuesday, November 3, 2026 (in 21 days).
Who is expected to win?
Xavier Becerra, with a market-implied probability of 96%, ahead of Steve Hilton at 4%. Updated 2026-10-13 20:39 UTC.
What do these percentages mean?
The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.
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