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Vermont Governor Election Winner 2026

2 outcomes · Voting day: Tue, Nov 3, 2026 (in 21 days)

76% chance to win Phil Scott (R)

▼1 pt in 7 days

Probability

50%

Oct 2025Oct 2026

23% chance to win Amanda Janoo (D)

▼1 pt in 7 days

Probability

50%

Oct 2025Oct 2026

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Outcome	Probability	24h change
Phil Scott (R)	76%	▲1 pt
Amanda Janoo (D)	23%	▼1 pt

Phil Scott (R) 76%
Amanda Janoo (D) 23%

100%50%0%

Oct 2025Apr 2026Oct 2026

Key questions

When is the vote?

Tuesday, November 3, 2026 (in 21 days).

Who is expected to win?

Phil Scott (R), with a market-implied probability of 76%, ahead of Amanda Janoo (D) at 23%. Updated 2026-10-13 23:57 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

Phil Scott (R) 76%

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

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Vermont Governor Election 2026: Phil Scott (R), with a market-implied probability of 76%, ahead of Amanda Janoo (D) at 23%. Source: electiontracker.eu, October 13, 2026