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Oregon Governor Election Winner 2026

2 outcomes · Voting day: Tue, Nov 3, 2026 (in 21 days)

76% chance to win Tina Kotek (D)

Probability

50%

Oct 2025Oct 2026

25% chance to win Christine Drazan (R)

▲1 pt in 7 days

Probability

50%

Oct 2025Oct 2026

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Outcome	Probability	24h change
Tina Kotek (D)	76%	▼2 pts
Christine Drazan (R)	25%	▲3 pts

Tina Kotek (D) 76%
Christine Drazan (R) 25%

100%50%0%

Oct 2025Apr 2026Oct 2026

Key questions

When is the vote?

Tuesday, November 3, 2026 (in 21 days).

Who is expected to win?

Tina Kotek (D), with a market-implied probability of 76%, ahead of Christine Drazan (R) at 25%. Updated 2026-10-13 16:42 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

Tina Kotek (D) 76%

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

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Oregon Governor Election 2026: Tina Kotek (D), with a market-implied probability of 76%, ahead of Christine Drazan (R) at 25%. Source: electiontracker.eu, October 13, 2026