Home › United States

Nevada Governor Election Winner 2026

2 outcomes · Voting day: Tue, Nov 3, 2026 (in 20 days)

55% chance to win Aaron Ford (D)

▼1 pt in 7 days

Probability

50%

Oct 2025Oct 2026

46% chance to win Joe Lombardo (R)

▲1 pt in 7 days

Probability

50%

Oct 2025Oct 2026

Use widget

Outcome	Probability	24h change
Aaron Ford (D)	55%	–
Joe Lombardo (R)	46%	▲1 pt

Aaron Ford (D) 55%
Joe Lombardo (R) 46%

100%50%0%

Oct 2025Apr 2026Oct 2026

Key questions

When is the vote?

Tuesday, November 3, 2026 (in 20 days).

Who is expected to win?

Aaron Ford (D), with a market-implied probability of 55%, ahead of Joe Lombardo (R) at 46%. Updated 2026-10-14 03:27 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

Aaron Ford (D) 55%

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

Embed this widget

Paste this code into an article or page. The widget updates by itself: the market-implied probability before the vote, live on election night, then the official result.

<iframe src="https://electiontracker.eu/embed/united-states/nevada-governor-election-2026" title="Nevada Governor Election Winner" width="100%" height="400" style="border:0;max-width:640px" loading="lazy" referrerpolicy="no-referrer-when-downgrade"></iframe>
<script src="https://electiontracker.eu/embed.js" async></script>

Preview

More widgets and options for newsrooms →

Quote these figures

You are welcome to embed Election Tracker widgets and to quote individual figures, with credit and a link to electiontracker.eu. Copying the data in bulk (scraping, feeds, databases) or reselling it is not permitted. © Eastern Vikings OÜ.

Nevada Governor Election 2026: Aaron Ford (D), with a market-implied probability of 55%, ahead of Joe Lombardo (R) at 46%. Source: electiontracker.eu, October 14, 2026