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Michigan Governor Election Winner 2026

3 outcomes · Voting day: (in 21 days)

94% chance to win Jocelyn Benson (D)

0 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%
Oct 2025Oct 2026

6% chance to win John James (R)

▲1 pt in 7 days

Probability

50%
Oct 2025Oct 2026

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OutcomeProbability24h change
Jocelyn Benson (D)94%–
John James (R)6%0 pts
Independent<1%–
  1. Jocelyn Benson (D) 94%
  2. John James (R) 6%
100%50%0%

Oct 2025Apr 2026Oct 2026

Key questions

When is the vote?

Tuesday, November 3, 2026 (in 21 days).

Who is expected to win?

Jocelyn Benson (D), with a market-implied probability of 94%, ahead of John James (R) at 6%. Updated 2026-10-13 05:35 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

Jocelyn Benson (D) 94%

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

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