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Florida Governor Election Winner 2026

2 outcomes · Voting day: (in 21 days)

79% chance to win Byron Donalds (R)

▲2 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%
Oct 2025Oct 2026

21% chance to win David Jolly (D)

▼3 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%
Oct 2025Oct 2026

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OutcomeProbability24h change
Byron Donalds (R) 79%–
David Jolly (D)21%▼2 pts
  1. Byron Donalds (R) 79%
  2. David Jolly (D) 21%
100%50%0%

Oct 2025Apr 2026Oct 2026

Key questions

When is the vote?

Tuesday, November 3, 2026 (in 21 days).

Who is expected to win?

Byron Donalds (R) , with a market-implied probability of 79%, ahead of David Jolly (D) at 21%. Updated 2026-10-13 02:22 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

Byron Donalds (R) 79%

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

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