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California Lieutenant Governor Election Winner 2026

11 outcomes · Voting day: (in 21 days)

96% chance to win Fiona Ma

▲1 pt in 7 days

Probability

50%
May 2026Oct 2026

2% chance to win Janelle Kellman

0 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%
May 2026Oct 2026

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OutcomeProbability24h change
Fiona Ma96%▼1 pt
Janelle Kellman2%0 pts
Rakesh Christian2%0 pts
Josh Fryday2%–
Oliver Ma1%–
Ebie Lynch1%–
David Fennell1%0 pts
Jeyson Lopez1%–
Sean Collinson<1%–
Michael Tubbs<1%–
David Collenberg<1%–
  1. Fiona Ma 96%
100%50%0%

May 2026Jul 2026Oct 2026

Key questions

When is the vote?

Tuesday, November 3, 2026 (in 21 days).

Who is expected to win?

Fiona Ma, with a market-implied probability of 96%, ahead of Janelle Kellman at 2%. Updated 2026-10-13 04:42 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

Fiona Ma 96%

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

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