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Arizona Governor Election Winner 2026

2 outcomes · Voting day: Tue, Nov 3, 2026 (in 20 days)

89% chance to win Katie Hobbs (D)

▼2 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%

Oct 2025Oct 2026

12% chance to win Andy Biggs (R)

▲2 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%

Oct 2025Oct 2026

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Outcome	Probability	24h change
Katie Hobbs (D)	89%	–
Andy Biggs (R)	12%	–

Katie Hobbs (D) 89%
Andy Biggs (R) 12%

100%50%0%

Oct 2025Apr 2026Oct 2026

Key questions

When is the vote?

Tuesday, November 3, 2026 (in 20 days).

Who is expected to win?

Katie Hobbs (D), with a market-implied probability of 89%, ahead of Andy Biggs (R) at 12%. Updated 2026-10-14 00:49 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

Katie Hobbs (D) 89%

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

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Arizona Governor Election 2026: Katie Hobbs (D), with a market-implied probability of 89%, ahead of Andy Biggs (R) at 12%. Source: electiontracker.eu, October 14, 2026