Serbia elections 2026: predictions

Serbia election won by Student List as Vučić concedes defeat The Student List, backed by Serbia's student protest movement, won the 25 October parliamentary election with 52.71 percent of the vote to 39.17 percent for Aleksandar Vučić's United Serbia. Vučić conceded defeat; a projection gives the list 140 of the 250 seats.

Forming the government

Student List – Students Win has 140 of the 250 seats on the count so far; 126 make a majority, so it has one of its own.

Oct 25Vote
Under way
Final resultProclaimed by the Republic Electoral Commission, which then gives out the seats within 10 days
First sitting of the new AssemblyWithin 30 days of the final result
Speaker electedAt the first sitting; acts as president until the presidential election
Prime minister proposedBy the acting president, after hearing the lists
Government elected126 of 250 votes; within 90 days of the first sitting, or a new election

Seats

Student List – Students Win: 140Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor: 2Albanian Coalition: 2Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP): 1SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak: 1Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia: 104

126 for a majority

Closest seat: Usame Zukorlić Movement for Unification is 157 votes short of a seat, which would come from Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia.

Republička izborna komisija, 8,225 of 8,392 polling stations counted, Oct 27, 13:15 GMT · seats by our calculation (D’Hondt, minority lists’ quotients +35%)

Prime minister

Nobody proposed yet.

Outcome	Probability	24h change
Dejan Šoškić	41%	▼2 pts
Ilija Srdanović	20%	▼3 pts
Radomir Saičić	17%	▲5 pts
Dejan Bodiroga	4%	▼2 pts

All 14 outcomes

Ministers

None named yet.

Doctorates

73 of the 140 members of parliament for Student List – Students Win hold a doctorate

Doctorate: 73None stated: 67

The first 140 on the list, who take its seats in list order. Counted from the list’s own biographies: a doctorate stated, or a university chair that requires one (12 of them). Studenti pobeđuju

Latest news

Oct 26 The electoral commission publishes the overall result within 96 hours of receiving every local report, then awards the seats within 10 days. Tanjug
Oct 25 Jovo Bakić of the Student List said the new Assembly should sit and elect a government as soon as possible; talks on who fills which post had not begun. Insajder
Oct 25 Aleksandar Vučić conceded his list's defeat on election night, before the electoral commission had published any result. Radio Slobodna Evropa

Checked every hour; last check Oct 27, 13:21 GMT