Amazonas Governor Election Winner 2026

Q: When is the vote?

Sunday, October 25, 2026 (in 12 days).

Q: Who is expected to win?

Omar Aziz, with a market-implied probability of 86%, ahead of Professora Maria do Carmo at 15%. Updated 2026-10-13 03:45 UTC.

Q: What do these percentages mean?

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

7 outcomes · Voting day: Sun, Oct 25, 2026 (in 12 days)

Official results: TSE

86% chance to win Omar Aziz

▲2 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%

Aug 18Oct 12

15% chance to win Professora Maria do Carmo

▼2 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%

Aug 19Oct 12

Use widget

Outcome	Probability	24h change
Omar Aziz	86%	▲1 pt
Professora Maria do Carmo	15%	▲1 pt
David Almeida	<1%	–
Cabo Daciolo	<1%	–
Gilberto Vasconcelos	<1%	–
Isael Munduruku	<1%	–
Roberto Cidade	<1%	–

Omar Aziz 86%
Professora Maria do Carmo 15%

100%50%0%

Aug 18Sep 15Oct 13

Key questions

When is the vote?

Sunday, October 25, 2026 (in 12 days).

Who is expected to win?

Omar Aziz, with a market-implied probability of 86%, ahead of Professora Maria do Carmo at 15%. Updated 2026-10-13 03:45 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

Omar Aziz 86%

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

Embed this widget

Paste this code into an article or page. The widget updates by itself: the market-implied probability before the vote, live on election night, then the official result.

<iframe src="https://electiontracker.eu/embed/brazil/amazonas-governor-election-2026" title="Amazonas Governor Election Winner" width="100%" height="400" style="border:0;max-width:640px" loading="lazy" referrerpolicy="no-referrer-when-downgrade"></iframe>
<script src="https://electiontracker.eu/embed.js" async></script>

Preview

More widgets and options for newsrooms →

Quote these figures

You are welcome to embed Election Tracker widgets and to quote individual figures, with credit and a link to electiontracker.eu. Copying the data in bulk (scraping, feeds, databases) or reselling it is not permitted. © Eastern Vikings OÜ.

Amazonas Governor Election 2026: Omar Aziz, with a market-implied probability of 86%, ahead of Professora Maria do Carmo at 15%. Source: electiontracker.eu, October 13, 2026