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繁體中文Prime Minister of Spain?
16 outcomes · Voting day: (in 53 days)
Spain to hold early general election on 29 November Spain votes on 29 November 2026 in an early general election for all 350 seats in the Congress of Deputies and most of the Senate. Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez called it on 5 October, three days after Congress rejected two housing decrees of his minority government.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Alberto Núñez Feijóo | 80% | ▼2 pts |
| Pedro Sánchez | 19% | ▲1 pt |
| Santiago Abascal | 1% | 0 pts |
| Carlos Cuerpo | <1% | 0 pts |
| Isabel Díaz Ayuso | <1% | 0 pts |
| Óscar Puente | <1% | – |
| Yolanda Díaz | <1% | 0 pts |
| María Jesús Montero | <1% | – |
| Ernest Urtasun | <1% | – |
| Aitor Esteban | <1% | – |
| Miguel Tellado | <1% | – |
| Ester Muñoz | <1% | – |
| Pepa Millán | <1% | – |
| Cuca Gamarra | <1% | – |
| Borja Sémper | <1% | – |
| Carles Puigdemont | <1% | – |
- Alberto Núñez Feijóo 80%
- Pedro Sánchez 19%
Jun 2026Aug 2026Oct 2026
Key questions
When is the vote?
Sunday, November 29, 2026 (in 53 days).
Who is expected to win?
Alberto Núñez Feijóo, with a market-implied probability of 80%, ahead of Pedro Sánchez at 19%. Updated 2026-10-07 16:31 UTC.
What do these percentages mean?
The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.