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Spain General Election Winner 2026

2 outcomes · Voting day: (in 53 days)

Spain to hold early general election on 29 November Spain votes on 29 November 2026 in an early general election for all 350 seats in the Congress of Deputies and most of the Senate. Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez called it on 5 October, three days after Congress rejected two housing decrees of his minority government.

83% chance to win PP

Probability

50%
Oct 7Oct 7

18% chance to win PSOE

Probability

50%
Oct 6Oct 7

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OutcomeProbability24h change
PP83%▲2 pts
PSOE18%▼2 pts
  1. PP 83%
  2. PSOE 18%
100%50%0%

Oct 5Oct 6Oct 7

Key questions

When is the vote?

Sunday, November 29, 2026 (in 53 days).

Who is expected to win?

PP, with a market-implied probability of 83%, ahead of PSOE at 18%. Updated 2026-10-07 16:31 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

Related races

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