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Federal District Governor Election Winner 2026

10 outcomes · Voting day: (in 12 days)

Official results: TSE

99% chance to win Celina Leão

0 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%
Aug 19Oct 13

1% chance to win Leandro Grass

▼1 pt in 7 days

Probability

50%
Aug 18Oct 13

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OutcomeProbability24h change
Celina Leão99%–
Leandro Grass1%0 pts
Elisson<1%0 pts
Expedito Mendonça<1%0 pts
Arruda<1%–
Cappelli<1%–
Kiko Caputo<1%–
Paula Belmonte<1%–
Professor Robson<1%–
Professora Samara Mineiro<1%–
  1. Celina Leão 99%
100%50%0%

Aug 18Sep 15Oct 13

Key questions

When is the vote?

Sunday, October 25, 2026 (in 12 days).

Who is expected to win?

Celina Leão, with a market-implied probability of 99%, ahead of Leandro Grass at 1%. Updated 2026-10-13 07:39 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

Celina Leão 99%

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

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