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Democratic Party

Democratic Party

The Democratic Party is one of the two major parties of the United States, founded in 1828 and described by Wikipedia as the world's oldest active political party.

Website
democrats.org
Political position

Centre-left · Where sources place the party
Wikipedia: centre to centre-left (Democratic Party)
Ideology: liberalism, social liberalism, progressivism

93%Probability · Which party will win the House in 2026?

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It is chaired by Ken Martin, holds 45 of 100 Senate seats and 212 of 435 House seats and 24 governorships. It is named in the market on whether it will control the Senate after the 2026 United States midterm elections.

History

The party traces its origin to the Democratic-Republican Party of Thomas Jefferson and James Madison, and Andrew Jackson and Martin Van Buren are credited as its founders in 1828. In the most recent cycle Joe Biden defeated Donald Trump in 2020 and was president from 2021 to 2025, with Kamala Harris as vice president. Chuck Schumer leads the party in the Senate and Hakeem Jeffries in the House. Wikipedia reports that the party did better than historical trends suggested in the 2022 midterms.

Positions

Wikipedia says the party identifies as liberal and sits at the centre to centre-left of the political spectrum, with liberal, moderate and progressive factions. Its priorities include healthcare reform, paid leave and support for unions, abortion rights, gun control, LGBTQ rights, climate action and pathways for immigrants, and in foreign policy liberal internationalism, aid to Ukraine and a tough line on China and Russia.

Summarised automatically from the linked sources. Wikipedia

  1. Democratic Party 93%
100%50%0%

Jul 2025Feb 2026Oct 2026

Which party will win the House in 2026?

OutcomeLeft – RightProbability
Democratic PartyCentre-left93%
Republican PartyRight8%

All 2 outcomes

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