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North Carolina Supreme Court Election Winner 2026

2 outcomes · Closes

81% chance to win Anita Earls (D)

Probability

50%
Sep 4Oct 7

18% chance to win Sarah Stevens (R)

▼1 pt in 7 days

Probability

50%
Sep 4Oct 7

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OutcomeProbability24h change
Anita Earls (D)81%–
Sarah Stevens (R)18%▼1 pt
  1. Anita Earls (D) 81%
  2. Sarah Stevens (R) 18%
100%50%0%

Sep 4Sep 20Oct 7

Key questions

Who is expected to win?

Anita Earls (D), with a market-implied probability of 81%, ahead of Sarah Stevens (R) at 18%. Updated 2026-10-07 14:33 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

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