What will Idaho voters choose as their state gun?
6 outcomes · Closes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Winchester Model 1873 | 61% | ▲6 pts |
| Colt Peacemaker | 16% | ▼1 pt |
| Colt M1911 | 12% | – |
| M1 Garand | 5% | – |
| Winchester Model 1894 | 5% | 0 pts |
| Remington Model 700 | 1% | – |
- Winchester Model 1873 61%
- Colt Peacemaker 16%
- Colt M1911 12%
100%50%0%
Jul 31Sep 3Oct 7
Key questions
Who is expected to win?
Winchester Model 1873, with a market-implied probability of 61%, ahead of Colt Peacemaker at 16%. Updated 2026-10-07 14:33 UTC.
What do these percentages mean?
The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.