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Campeche Governor Election Winner 2027

26 outcomes · Voting day: (in 236 days)

70% chance to win Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus

▲3 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%
Aug 6Oct 13

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OutcomeProbability24h change
Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus70%▲1 pt
Eliseo Fernández Montúfar10%–
Carlos Ucán Yam1%–
Aníbal Ostoa Ortega1%–
Daniel Barreda Pavón1%–
Andrés Fernández del Valle<1%0 pts
Christian Castro Bello<1%–
Salvador Farías González<1%0 pts
Biby Rabelo de la Torre<1%0 pts
Pablo Angulo Briceño<1%–
Nelly Márquez Zapata<1%0 pts
Paul Arce Ontiveros<1%0 pts
Liz Hernández Romero<1%–
Armando Toledo Jamit<1%–
Rosario Cruz Hernández<1%0 pts
Ricardo Medina Farfán<1%–
Martina Kantún Can<1%–
Rocío Abreu Artiñano<1%–
Gerardo Sánchez Sansores<1%–
Yolanda Valladares Valle<1%–
Emilio Lara Calderón<1%0 pts
Dulce Dorantes Cervera<1%–
Francisco Farías Bailón<1%0 pts
Ariana Rejón Lara<1%–
Laura Baqueiro Ramos<1%–
Karla Guadalupe Toledo Zamora<1%–
  1. Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus 70%
100%50%0%

Aug 6Sep 9Oct 13

Key questions

When is the vote?

Sunday, June 6, 2027 (in 236 days).

Who is expected to win?

Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus, with a market-implied probability of 70%, ahead of Eliseo Fernández Montúfar at 10%. Updated 2026-10-13 16:42 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus 70%

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

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