Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV): Latvian Parliamentary Election Winner 2026?

No. Source: public prediction-market data.

Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV)

Latvia First (Latvija pirmajā vietā) is a Latvian party founded on 14 August 2021 and chaired by businessman Ainārs Šlesers.

Website: latvijapirmajavieta.lv

Political position

Far right · Where sources place the party
Wikipedia: right-wing populist, far-right
Ideology: national conservatism, right-wing populism, Christian nationalism

0%Probability · Latvian Parliamentary Election Winner 2026

Voting day: Sat, Oct 3, 2026 (4 days ago)

It won 9 seats in 2022 and 17 in 2026, finishing second. It is a party in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election, held on 3 October.

History

The party was founded on 14 August 2021 by Ainārs Šlesers and registered on 10 September 2021. In 2022 it won 6.31% and 9 seats. In 2024 it won 6.23% and one seat in the European Parliament, where it sits with Patriots for Europe. In 2026 it won 13.25% (105,198 votes) and 17 seats, second place. Wikipedia reports campaign finance violations in 2022 and a challenge to the 2025 Riga municipal results that courts rejected.

Positions

Wikipedia describes the party as national-conservative, right-wing populist and far-right, combining national conservatism with Christian nationalism. It supports Latvia's NATO and EU membership, socially conservative policies and stricter border controls.

Summarised automatically from the linked sources. Wikipedia: Latvia First

Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) 0%

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Dec 2025May 2026Oct 2026

This market has closed. The figures above are its final state.

Latvian Parliamentary Election Winner 2026

Outcome	Left – Right	Probability
Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) Resolved	Centre	100%
Progresīvie (PRO) Resolved	Centre-left	0%
Nacionālā Apvienība (NA) Resolved	Right	0%
Jaunā Vienotība (JV) Resolved	Centre-right	0%
Zaļo un Zemnieku Savienība (ZZS) Resolved	Centre	0%
Stabilitātei! (ST!) Resolved	Centre	0%
Suverēnā Vara (SV) Resolved	Right	0%
Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” (S) Resolved	Centre-left	0%
Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) Resolved	Far right	0%

All 9 outcomes

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