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Tocantins Governor Election Winner 2026

7 outcomes · Voting day: (in 12 days)

Official results: TSE

64% chance to win Vicentinho Júnior

▲22 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%
Aug 18Oct 13

38% chance to win Professora Dorinha

▼20 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%
Aug 19Oct 13

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OutcomeProbability24h change
Vicentinho Júnior64%▲7 pts
Professora Dorinha38%▼6 pts
Ataídes de Oliveira<1%–
Du Pereira<1%–
Laurez Moreira<1%–
Prof. Witer Naves<1%–
Subtenente Luiz Carlos<1%–
  1. Vicentinho Júnior 64%
  2. Professora Dorinha 38%
100%50%0%

Aug 18Sep 15Oct 13

Key questions

When is the vote?

Sunday, October 25, 2026 (in 12 days).

Who is expected to win?

Vicentinho Júnior, with a market-implied probability of 64%, ahead of Professora Dorinha at 38%. Updated 2026-10-13 16:06 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

Vicentinho Júnior 64%

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

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