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繁體中文2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner
3 outcomes · Voting day: (in 52 days)
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Kuomintang (KMT) | 89% | ▼1 pt |
| Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) | 12% | ▲1 pt |
| Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) | <1% | – |
- Kuomintang (KMT) 89%
- Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) 12%
100%50%0%
Dec 2025May 2026Oct 2026
Key questions
When is the vote?
Saturday, November 28, 2026 (in 52 days).
Who is expected to win?
Kuomintang (KMT), with a market-implied probability of 89%, ahead of Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) at 12%. Updated 2026-10-07 14:28 UTC.
What do these percentages mean?
The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.