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Hsinchu City Mayor Election Winner 2026

3 outcomes · Voting day: Sat, Nov 28, 2026 (in 52 days)

93% chance to win Ann Kao

▼1 pt in 7 days

Probability

50%

Aug 15Oct 7

6% chance to win Chuang Ching-cheng

▲1 pt in 7 days

Probability

50%

Aug 16Oct 7

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Outcome	Probability	24h change
Ann Kao	93%	–
Chuang Ching-cheng	6%	0 pts
Ho Chih-yung	2%	0 pts

Ann Kao 93%
Chuang Ching-cheng 7%

100%50%0%

Aug 15Sep 10Oct 7

Key questions

When is the vote?

Saturday, November 28, 2026 (in 52 days).

Who is expected to win?

Ann Kao, with a market-implied probability of 93%, ahead of Chuang Ching-cheng at 6%. Updated 2026-10-07 13:52 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

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Paste this code into an article or page. The widget updates by itself: the market-implied probability before the vote, live on election night, then the official result.

<iframe src="https://electiontracker.eu/embed/taiwan/hsinchu-city-mayor-election-2026" title="Hsinchu City Mayor Election Winner" width="100%" height="400" style="border:0;max-width:640px" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<script src="https://electiontracker.eu/embed.js" async></script>

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