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Kaohsiung Mayor Election Winner 2026

6 outcomes · Voting day: (in 52 days)

65% chance to win Lai Jui-lung

▼9 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%
Aug 15Oct 7

36% chance to win Ko Chih-en

▲9 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%
Aug 16Oct 7

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OutcomeProbability24h change
Lai Jui-lung65%▲1 pt
Ko Chih-en36%▼1 pt
Hsu Chih-chieh<1%–
Lin Tai-hua<1%–
Chiu Yi-ying<1%–
Chang Ching<1%–
  1. Lai Jui-lung 65%
  2. Ko Chih-en 36%
100%50%0%

Aug 15Sep 10Oct 7

Key questions

When is the vote?

Saturday, November 28, 2026 (in 52 days).

Who is expected to win?

Lai Jui-lung, with a market-implied probability of 65%, ahead of Ko Chih-en at 36%. Updated 2026-10-07 17:41 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

Related races

  1. Taipei Mayor Election Winner Chiang Wan-an 74%
  2. 2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner Kuomintang (KMT) 88%
  3. New Taipei Mayor Election Winner Lee Shu-chuan 64%
  4. Hsinchu City Mayor Election Winner Ann Kao 93%
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