Election TrackerHow it worksFor newsrooms
EN

Home › France

François Bayrou

François Bayrou

François Bayrou, born in 1951, is a French centrist politician and leader of the Democratic Movement (MoDem).

Born
1951 (75 years), Bordères
Party
Democratic Movement
Office
High Commissioner for Planning 2020–
Conseiller municipal de Pau 2014–
Education
Bordeaux Montaigne University
Political position

Centre · Where sources place the party (Democratic Movement)
Wikipedia: centrist, third-way democrat
Ideology: centrism, liberalism, pro-Europeanism

<1%Probability · French Presidential Election 2027

1h change
–
24h change
–
1w change
–
Closes

He was Minister of National Education from 1993 to 1997, mayor of Pau from 2014 to 2026 and Prime Minister from December 2024 to September 2025. He is named in the race for the 2027 French presidential election.

Career

Bayrou sat in the National Assembly in 1986–1993, 1997–1999 and 2002–2012, and in the European Parliament in 1999–2002. He was Minister of National Education in 1993–1997 and briefly Minister of Justice in 2017, resigning after 35 days. He ran for president in 2002, 2007 (third place with 18.57%) and 2012, and did not run in 2017, when he endorsed Emmanuel Macron. Appointed Prime Minister on 13 December 2024, he lost a confidence vote he had called himself on 8 September 2025 and resigned the next day.

Offices held
  1. High Commissioner for Planning 2020–
  2. Conseiller municipal de Pau 2014–
  3. Mayor of Pau 2014–2026
  4. Prime Minister of France 2024–2025
  5. Minister of Justice 2017–2017
  6. Member of the French National Assembly 1986–1993, 1997–1999, 2002–2012
  7. Member of the European Parliament 1999–2002
  8. Minister of National Education, Higher Education and Research 1993–1997

Source: Wikidata

Positions

Wikipedia describes him as a centrist who presents himself as a third-way democrat. He advocates proportional representation, a stronger role for the European Union and the protection of civil liberties.

Controversies

In the case of European Parliament assistants allegedly paid while working for his party, a court of first instance acquitted Bayrou in 2024, giving him the benefit of the doubt, while the party was convicted. Prosecutors appealed. His appeal trial opened in Paris on 9 September 2026; prosecutors requested a two-year suspended prison sentence, a 50,000-euro fine and a three-year suspended ineligibility. He denies involvement, and the court of appeal is to rule on 17 December 2026.

Summarised automatically from the linked sources. Wikipedia · La Gazette France

Photo: Service photographique de Matignon, Licence Ouverte, Wikimedia Commons (cropped)

  1. François Bayrou <1%
100%50%0%

Nov 2025Apr 2026Oct 2026

French Presidential Election 2027

OutcomeLeft – RightAgeProbability
Marine Le PenFar right5843%
Édouard PhilippeCentre-right5518%
Jean-Luc MélenchonLeft7513%
David LisnardCentre-right5712%
François HollandeCentre-left723%
Gabriel AttalCentre373%
Bruno RetailleauCentre-right651%
Raphaël GlucksmannCentre-left461%
Sarah KnafoFar right331%
Dominique de VillepinCentre-right721%
Éric ZemmourFar right681%
François BayrouCentre75<1%

All 42 outcomes

Embed this widget

Paste this code into an article or page. The widget updates by itself: the market-implied probability before the vote, live on election night, then the official result.

Preview

More widgets and options for newsrooms →