
François Bayrou
François Bayrou, born in 1951, is a French centrist politician and leader of the Democratic Movement (MoDem).
- Born
- 1951 (75 years), Bordères
- Party
- Democratic Movement
- Office
- High Commissioner for Planning 2020–
Conseiller municipal de Pau 2014– - Education
- Bordeaux Montaigne University
Centre · Where sources place the party (Democratic Movement)
Wikipedia: centrist, third-way democrat
Ideology: centrism, liberalism, pro-Europeanism
<1%Probability · French Presidential Election 2027
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He was Minister of National Education from 1993 to 1997, mayor of Pau from 2014 to 2026 and Prime Minister from December 2024 to September 2025. He is named in the race for the 2027 French presidential election.
Career
Bayrou sat in the National Assembly in 1986–1993, 1997–1999 and 2002–2012, and in the European Parliament in 1999–2002. He was Minister of National Education in 1993–1997 and briefly Minister of Justice in 2017, resigning after 35 days. He ran for president in 2002, 2007 (third place with 18.57%) and 2012, and did not run in 2017, when he endorsed Emmanuel Macron. Appointed Prime Minister on 13 December 2024, he lost a confidence vote he had called himself on 8 September 2025 and resigned the next day.
- High Commissioner for Planning 2020–
- Conseiller municipal de Pau 2014–
- Mayor of Pau 2014–2026
- Prime Minister of France 2024–2025
- Minister of Justice 2017–2017
- Member of the French National Assembly 1986–1993, 1997–1999, 2002–2012
- Member of the European Parliament 1999–2002
- Minister of National Education, Higher Education and Research 1993–1997
Positions
Wikipedia describes him as a centrist who presents himself as a third-way democrat. He advocates proportional representation, a stronger role for the European Union and the protection of civil liberties.
Controversies
In the case of European Parliament assistants allegedly paid while working for his party, a court of first instance acquitted Bayrou in 2024, giving him the benefit of the doubt, while the party was convicted. Prosecutors appealed. His appeal trial opened in Paris on 9 September 2026; prosecutors requested a two-year suspended prison sentence, a 50,000-euro fine and a three-year suspended ineligibility. He denies involvement, and the court of appeal is to rule on 17 December 2026.
Summarised automatically from the linked sources. Wikipedia · La Gazette France
Photo: Service photographique de Matignon, Licence Ouverte, Wikimedia Commons (cropped)
- François Bayrou <1%
Nov 2025Apr 2026Oct 2026
French Presidential Election 2027
| Outcome | Left – Right | Age | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marine Le Pen | Far right | 58 | 43% |
| Édouard Philippe | Centre-right | 55 | 18% |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | Left | 75 | 13% |
| David Lisnard | Centre-right | 57 | 12% |
| François Hollande | Centre-left | 72 | 3% |
| Gabriel Attal | Centre | 37 | 3% |
| Bruno Retailleau | Centre-right | 65 | 1% |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | Centre-left | 46 | 1% |
| Sarah Knafo | Far right | 33 | 1% |
| Dominique de Villepin | Centre-right | 72 | 1% |
| Éric Zemmour | Far right | 68 | 1% |
| François Bayrou | Centre | 75 | <1% |