Oshawa, ON Mayoral Election Winner 2026
6 outcomes · Voting day: (in 19 days)
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Tito-Dante Marimpietri | 35% | ▼18 pts |
| Jim Lee | 22% | ▼1 pt |
| Derek Giberson | 4% | – |
| Henry Onwuachu | <1% | – |
| Dave Westlake | <1% | – |
| Michael Coons | <1% | – |
- Tito-Dante Marimpietri 35%
- Jim Lee 22%
100%50%0%
Aug 25Sep 15Oct 7
Key questions
When is the vote?
Monday, October 26, 2026 (in 19 days).
Who is expected to win?
Tito-Dante Marimpietri, with a market-implied probability of 35%, ahead of Jim Lee at 22%. Updated 2026-10-07 13:52 UTC.
What do these percentages mean?
The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

