Vaughan, ON Mayoral Election Winner 2026
3 outcomes · Voting day: (in 19 days)
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Steven Del Duca | 94% | – |
| Shelly-Ann Starlette Cerrelli | 3% | 0 pts |
| Parveen Bola | 2% | 0 pts |
- Steven Del Duca 94%
100%50%0%
Aug 25Sep 15Oct 7
Key questions
When is the vote?
Monday, October 26, 2026 (in 19 days).
Who is expected to win?
Steven Del Duca, with a market-implied probability of 94%, ahead of Shelly-Ann Starlette Cerrelli at 3%. Updated 2026-10-07 14:33 UTC.
What do these percentages mean?
The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.